EBITDA Margin — Declining
2025 EBITDA of $6.42B compressed from $6.84B in 2024 — margin fell from 34% to 31.6%. Operating income dropped to $2.36B (from $2.80B). Margin recovery is critical to deleveraging.
Revenue Growth — Barely Moving
2025 revenue: $20.35B (+1% vs $20.14B in 2024). With immigration headwinds killing net add assumptions, organic growth is now driven solely by ARPU expansion and cross-sell. Net income fell to $777M.
Free Cash Flow — Up 12%
FCF improved from $2.10B (2024) to $2.35B (2025) — the one clear bright spot. Interest expense dropped from $1.58B to $1.16B, signalling early deleveraging progress toward the 3.0× target.
5-Year Infrastructure Commitment
TELUS committed $66B+ over five years for national network expansion including $24B in Ontario, $14B in Alberta, and $8B in Québec — and AI data centre clusters in Vancouver and Kamloops (federal partnership).
AI Revenue Target by 2028
TELUS Digital named preferred implementation partner for ElevenLabs' ElevenAgents voice AI platform. Partnership with Cresta for AI agent deployment in contact centres. Joined AI Consortium with Scotiabank and Sun Life.
Stock Down ~34% (NYSE: TU)
52-week range $10.08–$16.74. Analysts average a 12-month target of $17.33 (+66% upside). J.P. Morgan has a Sell; consensus is Hold. CRTC scrutiny on wireless fees adding regulatory risk.
Fix the Core: Grow ARPU, Kill Churn
Wireless & wireline — 85% of revenue — must perform. Immigration headwinds make net adds a losing game. ARPU and retention are the only levers left.
What TELUS Discloses
- 2024 wireless ARPU under pressure as competitive intensity rises across all Canadian carriers
- Net subscriber adds slowing; immigration policy reversal eliminates the organic demand tailwind
- Wireline residential margins under pressure from fibre buildout costs and competition
- Churn management cited across multiple earnings calls as a key operational focus
- TELUS had Canada's lowest postpaid churn rate historically — defending this is existential
How Salesforce Helps
- 360° customer view across wireless + wireline enables intelligent cross-sell and upsell
- Einstein AI-driven churn prediction and proactive retention workflows
- Agentforce for Consumer: autonomous retention agents working 24/7
- Marketing Cloud: hyper-personalized ARPU-accretive offers at scale
- Service Cloud: reduce cost-to-serve while improving NPS and reducing churn triggers
Grow AI-Led Revenue: $600M → $2B
TELUS Digital and Sovereign AI are the growth bets. The challenge: turning data center capacity and AI ambition into revenue-generating enterprise relationships.
What TELUS Discloses
- Sovereign AI data center strategy positions TELUS as Canada's trusted AI infrastructure provider
- TELUS Digital (~$600M revenue base) provides outsourced AI-enabled CX services to global enterprises
- B2B enterprise pipeline is described as growing; however go-to-market velocity is a disclosed pain point
- Victor explicitly wants Salesforce's help defining and executing TELUS's AI strategy
- 2025 partnerships: TELUS Digital named preferred implementation partner for ElevenLabs ElevenAgents voice AI; partnership with Cresta for contact centre AI agents; joined AI Consortium with Scotiabank and Sun Life
- TELUS is building but needs to sell — the commercial activation layer is missing
How Salesforce Helps
- Agentforce as the AI activation layer for TELUS Digital's B2B go-to-market
- Data Cloud unifies customer + usage data to power AI models on TELUS's sovereign infrastructure
- Einstein Copilot and custom agents built on TELUS's own data — "TELUS on TELUS"
- Revenue Cloud / CPQ compresses TELUS's go-to-market from weeks to days
- Slack as the enterprise OS connecting TELUS Digital delivery teams with clients
Deleverage: Divest, Streamline, Focus
Targeting 3.0× net debt/EBITDA by 2027. TELUS Health is the likely first divestiture. TAC may follow. Balance sheet discipline is a governing constraint on every investment decision.
What TELUS Discloses
- Capital allocation review underway; non-core asset monetization stated as a priority
- TELUS Health: highest-margin segment — most attractive divestiture candidate for cash generation
- TELUS Agriculture & Consumer Goods (TAC): strategic fit increasingly questioned
- Debt levels a direct legacy of PureFibre and international expansion — acknowledged openly
- Every dollar invested must show a clear path to EBITDA improvement or ARPU growth
How Salesforce Helps
- ROI is the framing — Salesforce investments must tie directly to ARPU growth or cost reduction
- Headless 360 approach: augment existing systems without rip-and-replace capex
- Operational efficiency via AI reduces headcount cost in service and sales ops
- Field Service optimization (already deployed) as proof of cost-out from existing SF investment
- Position SF investment as enabling the divestiture readiness of non-core units
| Salesforce Play | TELUS Business Problem | Outcome for Victor |
|---|---|---|
| Agentforce for Consumer | Churn is rising as net adds stall; frontline teams can't scale retention outreach cost-effectively | Autonomous AI agents proactively retain at-risk subscribers 24/7 ↓ Churn · ↑ ARPU |
| Data Cloud + Einstein | Wireless and wireline data siloed; no unified customer view to cross-sell effectively | 360° view powers intelligent cross-sell between wireless, wireline, and digital services ↑ ARPU · ↑ LTV |
| Revenue Cloud / CPQ | TELUS takes ~30 days to bring new offers to market — a severe competitive disadvantage | Compress offer-to-market from weeks to days; accelerate B2B revenue capture ↑ Velocity · ↑ Win Rate |
| Agentforce for B2B | TELUS Digital needs a commercial engine to convert AI infrastructure capacity into enterprise revenue | AI-led B2B sales and service motion; beachhead for Consumer transformation ↑ AI Revenue |
| Marketing Cloud | Personalization at scale is limited; promotions are blunt, not surgical | Precision targeting for ARPU-accretive upsell, reducing churn-triggering irrelevant offers ↑ ARPU · ↓ Churn |
| Slack as Enterprise OS | Internal coordination fragmented; TELUS Digital client relationships managed manually | Connect TELUS employees, TELUS Digital clients, and AI agents in one operating layer ↓ Cost · ↑ NPS |
| Headless 360 / AI Strategy | Victor needs an AI strategy — fast — without a 3-year rip-and-replace program | Overlay AI on existing systems; show results in 90 days, not 3 years Speed to Value |
"Make TELUS the lighthouse agentic enterprise in Canada — powered by Salesforce, built on TELUS's own sovereign AI infrastructure."
TELUS on TELUS, powered by Salesforce. Not a vendor. A co-builder.
Headless 360 + AI Strategy Fast-Track
Victor explicitly asked for help defining TELUS's AI strategy. Lead with a framework for deploying Einstein + Agentforce on top of existing systems — not a rip-and-replace. Show 90-day time-to-value. This answers his most urgent ask and differentiates Salesforce from big integrators.
Telco Transformation Proof Points
BT, Lumen, Rogers — show what Salesforce did for comparable carriers. Quantify ARPU lift, churn reduction, and go-to-market speed improvements. Victor needs to see the pattern before he will invest. Social proof from peers is the fastest path to credibility.
B2B Beachhead → Consumer Bridge
Agentify B2B first (lower complexity, faster ROI), then use the AI + data platform as the gateway to Consumer transformation. This sequencing manages risk and gives Victor a proof point before the larger Consumer investment is committed. Rogers playbook analogy applies.
Slack as the Enterprise OS
Mark wants to explore this directly with Victor. Position Slack not as a chat tool but as the connective tissue between TELUS employees, TELUS Digital external clients, and the agentic AI layer. With Quip expiring in 90 days, the window is immediate.
CPQ / Order Management: The 30-Day Problem
TELUS takes a month to go to market with a new offer. This is a massive pain point, well understood internally. Revenue Cloud with CPQ compresses this dramatically. Frame it as: every day saved in time-to-market is ARPU captured ahead of a competitor.
The Investment Model: Rogers Playbook
$5M FDE investment from Salesforce in exchange for a $15M iACV commitment. Frame this as co-investment — Salesforce putting skin in the game. Victor respects partners who share the risk. Lead with the outcome model, not the product catalog.
Marketing Cloud personalised upsell
Agentforce proactive cross-sell
CPQ rapid offer bundles
Einstein churn prediction
Marketing Cloud at-risk journeys
Service Cloud NPS-triggered saves
Agentforce offer configuration
Automated approval workflows
Real-time competitive response
Service Cloud unified 360
Einstein AI answer assist
Field Service (already deployed)
Revenue Cloud / CPQ for B2B
Data Cloud for pipeline AI
Slack as client OS
AI cost reduction across CX
Data Cloud eliminates tool sprawl
Slack replaces fragmented tools
Tableau as analytics OS
Einstein analytics for ops
Agentforce data agents
TELUS Health Divestiture — Monitor Closely
Victor's Q1 2026 earnings commentary cited "asset monetization" as a key lever. TELUS Health (highest-margin segment) remains the likely first candidate. Anticipate org disruption and budget changes. Protect any Salesforce footprint there now.
Shelfware Sizing (~$4–6M)
Shelfware audit in progress. This is a critical input for the Victor conversation — acknowledging it proactively and proposing a utilization plan builds trust. Do not let it surface as a surprise.
ECI Project Instability
Rocky implementation may be replaced by Momentum or revert to Gong. Monitor closely — this affects the Salesforce integration story and could become a competitive wedge or a trust issue.
Quip Contract Expiry
Contract ends within the year — 90 days to position Slack as the replacement and upgrade. This is a concrete, time-bound opportunity to land Slack as the enterprise OS narrative with Victor.
SELA Renewal — May 2027
This SIC is the catalyst to rewrite the SELA into a large strategic deal. Victor is new, the relationship is being reset, and the 2027 renewal window gives both sides urgency to build something strategic now — not transactional.
TAC (TELUS Agriculture) Divestiture Risk
May follow TELUS Health. If Salesforce has footprint in TAC, assess exposure. If not, this is a non-issue — but be prepared for the question from Victor's CFO team.